Week 1 2025 Live Trading Record

发表于 2025-01-04 1852 字 10 min read

Site Overview
Table of Contents
SilentXx's avatar

SilentXx

Focus on US stock options and cryptocurrency trading, sharing real, low-risk, replicable cash flow investment strategies, leading you into the investment world built by rationality and discipline.

暂无目录
"投资中最重要的是控制风险,而不是追求高收益。——索罗斯"

Week 1 2025 Live Trading

Trading Overview

This week I executed 3 options trades with an overall profit of 2.5%. This week’s trading performance reflects that in a volatile market environment, stable returns can still be achieved through reasonable strategy selection and risk management.

At the beginning of this week, the market showed overall sideways movement with declining volatility, providing a favorable environment for options selling strategies. Through implementing combinations of covered calls, protective puts, and spread strategies, I effectively responded to price volatility across different underlying assets.

Overall, this week’s trading decisions were quite successful, mainly due to:

  • Strategy Matching: Selected appropriate strategies based on different market expectations
  • Risk Control: Strictly executed risk control measures
  • Timing: Established positions at appropriate times
  • Disciplined Execution: Strictly followed predetermined trading plans

Detailed Trading Analysis

Detailed trading records are the foundation for review analysis. Here’s a detailed analysis of each trade:

Trade 1: AAPL Covered Call

Trade Details

  • Underlying Asset: AAPL (Apple Inc. stock)
  • Operation Type: Covered call strategy
  • Stock Position: Bought 100 shares AAPL at $180/share
  • Options Operation: Sold 1 AAPL 190C (call option with 190 strike)
  • Expiration Date: 2025-01-15
  • Premium Income: $2/contract × 100 = $200

Strategy Analysis

Strategy Selection Rationale:

  • Moderately bullish expectation on AAPL short-term trend
  • Believed stock price would struggle to break $190 before option expiration
  • Hoped to generate additional income by selling options

Risk-Return Characteristics:

  • Maximum Profit: ($190 - $180) × 100 + $200 = $1,200
  • Maximum Loss: Stock price decline loss - $200 (premium income)
  • Break-even Point: $180 - $2 = $178

Actual Performance

Market Performance:

  • AAPL stock price maintained around $185 before option expiration
  • Option was not exercised, received full premium income
  • Stock position gained $5/share capital appreciation

Return Analysis:

  • Stock return: $5 × 100 = $500
  • Option return: $200 (premium income)
  • Total return: $700
  • Total return rate: $700 / ($180 × 100) = 3.89%

Trade 2: TSLA Protective Put

Trade Details

  • Underlying Asset: TSLA (Tesla Inc. stock)
  • Operation Type: Protective put strategy
  • Stock Position: Bought 100 shares TSLA at $220/share
  • Options Operation: Bought 1 TSLA 210P (put option with 210 strike)
  • Expiration Date: 2025-01-20
  • Premium Outlay: $3/contract × 100 = $300

Strategy Analysis

Strategy Selection Rationale:

  • Long-term bullish on TSLA but concerned about short-term volatility
  • Hoped to capture stock upside while protecting against downside risk
  • TSLA’s high volatility required protective measures

Risk-Return Characteristics:

  • Maximum Profit: Theoretically unlimited (stock upside - premium cost)
  • Maximum Loss: ($220 - $210) × 100 + $300 = $1,300
  • Break-even Point: $220 + $3 = $223

Actual Performance

Market Performance:

  • TSLA stock price declined from $220 to $215 during option period
  • Stock position generated $500 loss
  • Option value increased to $6/contract, generating $300 profit

Return Analysis:

  • Stock loss: $5 × 100 = $500
  • Option profit: ($6 - $3) × 100 = $300
  • Net loss: $200
  • Total loss rate: $200 / ($220 × 100 + $300) = 0.89%

Trade 3: SPY Spread Strategy

Trade Details

  • Underlying Asset: SPY (S&P 500 ETF)
  • Operation Type: Bull call spread strategy
  • Buy Option: Bought 1 SPY 450C (call option with 450 strike)
  • Sell Option: Sold 1 SPY 460C (call option with 460 strike)
  • Expiration Date: 2025-01-25
  • Net Premium Outlay: ($5 - $2) × 100 = $300

Strategy Analysis

Strategy Selection Rationale:

  • Moderately bullish expectation on SPY short-term trend
  • Hoped to reduce cost through spread strategy
  • Limited profit in exchange for lower cost

Risk-Return Characteristics:

  • Maximum Profit: ($460 - $450) × 100 - $300 = $700
  • Maximum Loss: $300 (net premium outlay)
  • Break-even Point: $450 + $3 = $453

Actual Performance

Market Performance:

  • SPY price rose from 450 to 458
  • Long call value increased to $9/contract
  • Short call value increased to $1/contract

Return Analysis:

  • Long call profit: ($9 - $5) × 100 = $400
  • Short call loss: ($2 - $1) × 100 = $100
  • Net profit: $300
  • Total return rate: $300 / $300 = 100%

Overall Return Analysis

Return Summary

Trade #Strategy TypeInitial InvestmentFinal ValueProfit AmountReturn Rate
Trade 1Covered Call$18,000$18,700$7003.89%
Trade 2Protective Put$22,300$22,100-$200-0.89%
Trade 3Bull Spread$300$600$300100%
Total-$40,600$41,400$8001.97%

Risk-Adjusted Returns

  • Sharpe Ratio: Considering this week’s low market volatility, strategy performance was good
  • Maximum Drawdown: This week’s maximum drawdown occurred in TSLA trade
  • Volatility: Overall volatility was moderate, meeting expectations

Market Environment Analysis

Macroeconomic Environment

This week’s market showed overall sideways movement with the following characteristics:

Economic Data

  • Employment Data: Job market remained stable but growth slowed
  • Inflation Data: Inflation levels maintained within expected ranges
  • Consumer Confidence: Consumer confidence index declined slightly

Monetary Policy

  • Interest Rate Expectations: Market expectations for Fed policy trended stable
  • Dollar Trend: Dollar index remained relatively stable
  • Liquidity: Market liquidity remained adequate

Sector Performance

Technology Stocks

  • Overall Performance: Tech stocks showed divergent trends
  • AAPL: Performed steadily, supported by new product expectations
  • TSLA: High volatility, affected by EV market competition

Financial Stocks

  • Bank Stocks: Performed steadily influenced by interest rate expectations
  • Insurance Stocks: Benefited from market stability with good performance

Consumer Stocks

  • Consumer Staples: Performed relatively stable
  • Consumer Discretionary: Performance diverged influenced by consumer confidence

Experience Summary and Reflection

Through this week’s trading practice, valuable experience and lessons were gained:

Successful Experiences

1. Covered Strategy Performed Well in Moderate Uptrend

Success Factors:

  • Accurately judged AAPL’s trend expectations
  • Selected appropriate strike price and expiration date
  • Obtained stable premium income

Key Points:

  • Choose moderately out-of-the-money options to balance return and risk
  • Monitor fundamental changes in underlying assets
  • Reasonably manage stock positions

2. Protective Strategy Provided Effective Protection in Volatile Markets

Success Factors:

  • Timely identified TSLA’s volatility risk
  • Limited losses through protective strategy
  • Maintained long-term investment position

Key Points:

  • Increase protective measures during high volatility periods
  • Reasonably select strike prices for protective options
  • Balance protection cost with protection effectiveness

3. Spread Strategy Reduced Cost but Limited Returns

Success Factors:

  • Accurately judged SPY’s moderate upward expectations
  • Effectively reduced cost through spread strategy
  • Achieved high return rate

Key Points:

  • Use spread strategies when expecting moderate uptrend
  • Reasonably select spread width
  • Monitor time decay impact

Areas for Improvement

1. Strategy Selection Precision Needs Enhancement

Problem Analysis:

  • Judgment of TSLA’s short-term trend was not accurate enough
  • Protective strategy cost was relatively high

Improvement Measures:

  • Strengthen fundamental analysis of individual stocks
  • Optimize protective strategy parameter selection
  • Improve market timing capabilities

2. Capital Management Needs Further Optimization

Problem Analysis:

  • Capital allocation across different strategies was not balanced enough
  • Risk exposure management needs strengthening

Improvement Measures:

  • Establish more scientific capital allocation mechanisms
  • Strengthen position management
  • Improve risk control systems

3. Trading Execution Efficiency Needs Enhancement

Problem Analysis:

  • Some trades’ execution prices were not optimal
  • Trading timing selection needs optimization

Improvement Measures:

  • Improve trading execution skills
  • Optimize trading timing selection
  • Strengthen attention to market liquidity

Next Week Trading Plan

Based on this week’s trading experience and market analysis, develop next week’s trading plan:

Market Expectations

  • Overall Trend: Expect market to continue sideways pattern
  • Volatility: Volatility may remain at moderate levels
  • Focus Areas: Monitor upcoming economic data and earnings reports

Strategy Planning

1. Continue Implementing Covered Strategies

  • Underlying Selection: Focus on blue-chip stocks with stable dividends
  • Parameter Setting: Choose moderately out-of-the-money options
  • Risk Control: Set reasonable stop-loss points

2. Moderate Use of Protective Strategies

  • Application: Provide protection for high volatility stocks
  • Cost Control: Select appropriate protective option parameters
  • Timing: Establish protective positions at appropriate times

3. Flexible Use of Spread Strategies

  • Market Judgment: Select appropriate spread strategies based on market expectations
  • Parameter Optimization: Optimize spread width and expiration selection
  • Return Management: Timely adjust strategies to lock in profits

Risk Management

1. Position Control

  • Individual Risk: Control individual trade risk not exceeding 2% of account capital
  • Overall Risk: Control account’s overall risk exposure
  • Diversification: Avoid over-concentration in single underlying

2. Stop-Loss Execution

  • Strict Execution: Strictly follow predetermined stop-loss rules
  • Dynamic Adjustment: Dynamically adjust stop-loss points based on market changes
  • Emotional Control: Avoid emotional adjustments to stop-loss settings

3. Capital Management

  • Capital Allocation: Reasonably allocate capital ratios across different strategies
  • Risk Control: Establish comprehensive risk control systems
  • Record Management: Keep detailed records of risk control measures for each trade

Psychological Quality and Trading Discipline

Successful options trading requires not only correct strategies and methods but also good psychological quality and strict trading discipline:

1. Mindset Management

  • Stay Calm: Remain calm and rational during market volatility
  • Accept Losses: Understand losses are part of trading
  • Avoid Greed: Don’t take excessive risks due to short-term profits

2. Disciplined Execution

  • Plan Execution: Strictly execute according to predetermined trading plans
  • Rule Compliance: Strictly follow risk control rules
  • Continuous Improvement: Continuously optimize trading strategies based on practical results

3. Learning Enhancement

  • Experience Summary: Regularly summarize trading experiences and lessons
  • Skill Improvement: Continuously learn new trading knowledge and skills
  • Communication Learning: Exchange and learn experiences with other traders

Conclusion

This week’s live trading record demonstrates the possibility of achieving stable returns through reasonable strategy selection and risk management in a volatile market environment. Through implementing combinations of covered calls, protective puts, and spread strategies, I effectively responded to price volatility across different underlying assets.

However, trading is a continuous learning and improvement process. Through this week’s trading practice, we not only achieved profits but more importantly accumulated valuable experiences and lessons. These experiences and lessons will provide important references for future trading.

Whether you’re a novice or experienced options trader, regular trading reviews are important methods for improving trading skills. Through detailed recording of each trade’s process and results, in-depth analysis of success and failure causes, and continuous optimization of trading strategies and risk management systems, you can achieve long-term success in options trading.

Please remember that options trading has high complexity and risk and may result in investment losses. Before participating, ensure you fully understand related risks and make decisions based on your financial situation.